Notice & Comment

Author: Peter Conti-Brown

Notice & Comment

The Fed’s Governance Crisis

I’ve written about the relatively new problem of chronic Fed vacancies before (see here), but we’re setting new records. With the just-announced resignation of Vice Chair Stanley Fischer 18 months before his leadership term expired, we face another potential milestone: the first time in the Fed’s history that we have only three sitting Governors. I’ll […]

Notice & Comment

George Mason Law Review–essays from the Transatlantic Forum

The inimitable Michael Greve hosts a stimulating conference with scholars and practitioners from both sides of the Atlantic, called (appropriately) the Transatlantic Law Forum. The George Mason Law Review just published some of the essays from the 8th of these conferences, with a intellectual and substantive diversity reflected in the essays. They include Mike’s introduction, […]

Notice & Comment

Donald Trump’s most important Fed appointment (Hint: It’s not the Fed Chair)

Given the tumult of the opening weeks of the Trump Administration, the public is forgiven for not realizing that the Administration is woefully understaffed. But even in the flurry of personnel announcements from first the transition team and now the Administration, on the Federal Reserve—perhaps the most powerful of governmental agencies—we have had near radio silence. Of […]

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Republicans and the Russians: What Sen. McConnell’s inquiry has to do with Fed independence

Today Senator Mitch McConnell, in an apparent reversal, launched what he described as a bipartisan inquiry into whether the Russian government sought to interfere with the US election. Given that President-elect Trump hasn’t been too fond of this theory of the election, and that Sen. McConnell forcefully defended the CIA and intelligence community while the […]

Notice & Comment

The Fed’s “nuclear option” for checking the Trump Administration (Trump versus the Federal Reserve, part III)

Yesterday, I discussed why the Fed’s political power is something that both it and the Trump Administration should consider in the coming confrontations that one can expect between them. Today, I want to focus on the Fed’s legal strategy by resurrecting statutorily permissible but largely discarded patterns of Fed governance that could require Trump to […]

Notice & Comment

Trump versus the Federal Reserve, part II: Reports of the Fed’s demise are greatly exaggerated

[This post is drawn in part from a forthcoming policy brief co-authored with Simon Johnson] Last week, I said that we should not expect the Trump-Republican coalition to have the same hawkish posture toward monetary policy that we saw within the Republican coalition during its anti-Obama years from 2009-2017. There are coalitional tactics and there […]

Notice & Comment

Core Principles and Coalitional Tactics: Why We Should Expect Republicans–and Certainly the Trump Administration–To Change its Tune About Tight Monetary Policy

[This blog post comes in part from a policy brief co-authored with Simon Johnson, forthcoming] Like all the other academic idiots out there who failed to see this coming, I thought Trump’s chances for victory very low. Time was, I worried that Trump’s loss in November, the Fed’s raising of rates in December would lead […]

Notice & Comment

Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve

Central bankers often insist that ideology, values, worldview, and—that much-hated term—politics play no role in influencing their decisions. This is a very useful dodge on their part. It’s a dodge because, as I have argued in my book The Power and Independence of the Federal Reserve, expertise is inevitably and appropriately ideological, the process that […]

Notice & Comment

Why is Judicial Biography So Hard To Write?

I don’t envy the reading load that William Domnarski undertook on his way to writing his biography of Richard Posner. By his account in an interview, he read all of Posner’s judicial opinions, numbering some 3,000. And then he read “most of them for the second time,” and “some for the third time.” He then […]

Notice & Comment

The Extraordinary Influence of Daniel Tarullo

I’m a bit late on this—my wife and I just welcomed a new baby last week, so even this little blog post is a minor miracle—but Wall Street Journal reporters Emily Glazer and Ryan Tracy have a fascinating profile of Federal Reserve Board Governor Daniel Tarullo, whom they rightly call in the article’s headline “The […]